Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 104447.068583 110015.552541 115575.764374 121540.681128 127754.846290 134034.156341 140855.129212
2025-08-24 96068.638291 104656.992953 113463.851587 123158.763677 133520.333890 144251.279139 156193.509603
2025-08-31 88986.005888 99583.095077 110681.758229 123149.859956 136742.868736 151089.571054 167353.168707
2025-09-07 84611.458522 96827.386957 109847.034580 124718.531377 141196.191218 158855.415660 179172.482563
2025-09-14 80740.799085 94233.210407 108835.301546 125757.664185 144771.771842 165418.663800 189474.953958
2025-09-21 76884.576914 91360.923642 107248.065075 125902.730046 147128.758557 170449.904687 197929.166578
2025-09-28 73530.353198 88837.629452 105853.769813 126075.260296 149349.064876 175193.449605 205955.676013
2025-10-05 71596.672741 87807.735929 106038.079173 127936.541583 153398.956585 181941.606179 216220.659100
2025-10-12 69688.809120 86688.207936 106014.653847 129465.128815 156993.402653 188123.815224 225821.833449
2025-10-19 67558.930687 85195.985767 105458.812546 130284.171782 159692.629113 193227.610793 234157.239894
2025-10-26 65264.077496 83403.523449 104456.575992 130491.803805 161604.319657 197366.825820 241343.116901
2025-11-02 63330.346745 81963.021444 103798.375898 131040.241644 163863.885008 201876.963194 248949.152993
2025-11-09 61265.271342 80308.849580 102843.619807 131207.643221 165665.440912 205869.500977 256001.646703
2025-11-16 60004.562610 79597.296264 102992.243852 132680.916141 169022.494045 211715.983462 265292.176167
2025-11-23 58045.956628 77945.059472 101926.655968 132614.979598 170470.964547 215253.407287 271813.578609
2025-11-30 57058.130646 77472.153798 102281.220469 134268.449653 174001.144119 221297.038302 281375.964511
2025-12-07 55866.447461 76693.810693 102216.279430 135369.159540 176831.845567 226489.552278 289924.726350
2025-12-14 54295.268094 75375.835737 101427.139990 135522.552209 178458.376956 230197.084893 296664.570679
2025-12-21 52820.724931 74135.123733 100692.641139 135705.628660 180091.705172 233896.105270 303394.027857
2025-12-28 52233.346540 74028.179131 101383.272942 137682.119843 183969.904155 240373.407408 313577.371113
2026-01-04 51522.517455 73731.244094 101808.484304 139305.109766 187398.754564 246304.857880 323116.352267
2026-01-11 50520.573682 73015.184681 101664.410181 140174.651848 189859.628549 251031.650732 331175.834972
2026-01-18 49288.633001 71954.986981 101040.192936 140395.076281 191472.326315 254688.513694 337905.607249